Introduction:
Acquiring an existing business is one of the more
successful methods for getting into business or expanding an exiting business.
Public and large private companies have used acquisitions to grow for many
years. Based on information provided by business brokers and research by the
Small Business Administration, the continued success of people who buy existing
businesses is over 75% compared to only 10% to 15% of those who start from
scratch. Determining the value of small and midsize businesses is a challenging
assignment in light of the fact that very little information regarding actual
transactions is publicly available. The lack of available information has led
many appraisers to look for alternative sources of guideline transactions and
investment criteria from which they can derive applicable valuation ratios
and/or investment factors that can be used to convert future benefits into
indications of value. Guideline data obtained from public market investments,
usually requires substantial adjustments to account for the additional risk
characteristics associated with closely held businesses. Because many appraisers
lack specific knowledge of the risk characteristics associated with small and
midsize businesses, their final opinions of value are often poorly supported
and/or erroneously too high. Based on my experience of having been involved in
over 1,000 business acquisitions over the past 20 years and my experience as an
small business advisor through the SBA's SCORE consulting program, the following
information will provide some insight regarding the primary business risk
characteristics that impact small and midsize businesses and their effect on
valuation issues.
The Market:
As reported in The State of Small Business: A Report of
the President 1993,1 there were 19.6 million business tax returns filed in the
United States in 1990. Less than 90,000 employ more than 100 workers. The
remaining 19.5 million are considered to be small or very small businesses.
However, many of these tax returns are filed by either part time businesses or
independent contractors such as real estate and insurance agents. The two
procedures used by the SBA to classify the number of full time businesses are
employment and gross sales. Based on studies conducted by the Small Business
Administration, there are 5.1 million businesses with one or more employees.
Businesses with under 20 employees account for 89.4% of the total while midsize
businesses with over 100 but less than 500 employees account for less than
75,000 of the total. There are less than 15,000 businesses in the U.S. that have
500 or more employees.
Another measure of firm size is annual gross receipts.
Approximately 69.3% of all business tax returns report gross sales of less than
$50,000 per year. Most of these businesses are considered tobe hobby or
part-time businesses. Businesses with gross receipts of at least $50,000 but
less than $500,000 account for 76.8% of all businesses. These businesses are be
considered to be very small. Those firms with gross receipts of $1 million or
more represent only 3.9% of all business tax returns.
Businesses By Ownership Structure:
Corporations represent only 18.6% of all business tax
returns filed; however, corporations represent 42% of all businesses grossing at
least $50,000. According to the SBA, corporations represent nearly 80% of those
full time businesses with employees and account for nearly 90% of the nation's
sales and employment. Partnerships represent 11.7% of businesses grossing over
$50,000.
Proprietorships represent 73.1% of the total business tax
returns, but only 46.3% of full time businesses.
Business Start Ups And Acquisitions:
Each year there are approximately 750,000 new businesses
that start up in the U.S.(2) The number of new firms grows by about 15%
annually. According to the SBA's studies, annually 2 to 3% of the total
businesses in the U.S. survive as successor firms through merger, buyout or
similar change. In the January 1995 edition of The Business Broker, 3 a
newsletter for the business brokerage industry published by Business Brokerage
Press, Tom West reports on several recent studies that estimate the number of
businesses sold in the U.S. each year at somewhere between 120,000 to 300,000.
According to Mr. West, these numbers are substantially smaller than estimates
made by others.
Business Risk Characteristics:
The two primary needs that influence the decision to buy
small and midsize businesses are life style considerations and expectations of
future benefits. They are so intertwined that it is difficult to separate them
from each other. In evaluating businesses to buy that will meet these needs,
entrepreneurs look at various business risk characteristics that impact business
value. Based on interviews with over 10,000 buyer prospects, the following 10
business risk characteristics are the primary factors that influence the
decision to buy and the price to be paid.
Stability of Historical Earnings - The stability of
historical earnings and the expectation of their continuance into the near
future is one of the mostimportant business risk characteristics considered by
most buyers. If earnings are marginal, erratic and/or have a short history,
there is a perception of risk regarding the expectation of future earnings.
There are three time plateaus which tend to influence the stability of a
company's earnings. Those companies with one year or less of historical earnings
have the greatest degree of risk as they have not yet established a proven track
record of stable earnings. Data from the U.S. Department of Labor 4 Ibid shows
that there is an annual 15% growth in new firms. Another 2 or 3% of firms
survive as successor firms through merger, buyout, or similar change. This gain
of about 17% is typically offset by about 15% of firms which terminate each
year. The net gain of about 2% a year is the result, indicating the high risk of
new start up businesses. It appears that entrepreneurs tend to underestimate the
costs and time to start a new business and reach the point of profitability. The
second time plateau seems to occur at about three years. At this point a
business has begun to establish a track record sufficient to indicate stability
and direction of future earnings. The third time plateau occurs when a company
has established a track record of five or more years. At this point, companies
have weathered most of the major problems of operating a business and have a
high likelihood of continued success. In general, given the same amount of
future benefits, businesses with a long and stable history of earnings will be
valued higher than businesses with shorter histories and/or erratic benefits.
Business & Industry Growth Prospects - Research of the
history, background and future trends of a subject business and its industry
will provide insight into the future prospects for growth in revenue and
earnings. Businesses in a growth industry will be more marketable and will sell
at higher values than businesses in declining industries, even when they have
similar profitability.
Based on the 1993 State Of Small Business: Report Of The
President 1993, the fastest growing industries are:
- health and allied service industries
- child care
- businesses services
- amusement & recreation services
The industries showing the greatest job losses are:
- machinery & equipment manufacturing
- building & heavy construction contractors
Stability of Employees - Experienced and skilled employees
are an important asset of any business, especially for a new owner who
frequently may have little or no experience in managing a business. The costs to
find, hire and train employees is expensive and time consuming. A major benefit
of buying an existing business is the work force already in place. While sellers
of businesses are usually paranoid about their employees finding out that the
business is for sale, buyers are equally concerned that employees might leave.
Companies with high turnover and unskilled workers create a negative perception
with regard to the future of the business and its future outlook of earnings.
Companies with low turnover and skilled employees tend to have good track
records of business success and will produce market values greater than
businesses with short term unskilled employees.
Depth of Management - One of the distinguishing
characteristics between small and larger businesses is the depth of management.
Larger companies usually have multiple layers of management, which tends to
strengthen a company's ability to survive by being able to replace key
management without significant costs or loss of business. Small and midsize
businesses have few, if any, levels of management below the owner/manager. They
therefore have greater risk of earnings loss in the event of illness, death, or
poor management decisions of the owner/managers. The more reliant a business is
on its owner, the less valuable it is to buyers.
Diversification of Products, Services and Geographic
Markets - Another distinguishing characteristic between small and larger
businesses is the diversification of products, services and geographic markets.
Typically, small businesses have very narrow lines of products and/or services
and are restricted to limited geographic markets. Expansion of the lines of
products, services and/or markets may be restricted by supplier requirements,
customer limitations and/or the owner's inability to raise additional capital
required to expand.
Many small businesses are in niche markets that enable an
owner to make a good living, but do not provide significant growth potential. As
a result, these businesses are not going to be attractive to financial buyers or
investors who look for opportunities to take companies public. Larger businesses
usually have diversification of products, services and geographic markets, thus
insulating them from significant loss of revenue and earnings in the event a
specific product line or geographic market is lost or severely hindered.
Businesses that are able to diversify are better able to reduce risk and
therefore, increase their market value.
Availability of Capital and/or Terms of Sale - The
availability of debt and/or equity capital greatly influences the market value
of a company . An axiom that is certainly true in business states, "with
unlimited resources of time and money, most any problem can be overcome." Many
businesses suffer from a lack of both money and time. According to the Small
Business Administration, approximately 45% of all new businesses are funded by
equity capital because sources of debt capital are severely limited. Public
companies can attract equity capital through the sale of stock. The size of a
company tends to have a significant impact on the entrepreneur's ability to
raise debt and/or equity capital to start, expand or buy a business. While
buying an existing business is certainly less risky than starting a new
business, raising capital is still a very difficult chore. There is a tendency
on the part of financial institutions to view small and midsize business
acquisitions with a jaundice eye, given the high failure rate of these
businesses in general and the perception that if a business is for sale there
must be something wrong with it.
While buyers for larger businesses do have more options
available to raise capital, a majority of the reported transactions with values
in excess of $1 million are consummated using forms of payment other than all
cash. Mergerstat Review 5 reports that only 46% of the announced transactions in
1994 were done for all cash. Another 13% was done for stock and 40% of the
transactions were done for a combination of cash and stock. According to
Mergerstat, only 28% of the deals valued at $25 million or less were done for
cash, whereas 36% of the deals valued over $100 million were done for cash.
Desirability and Marketability For Type of Business -
Emulating the mind-set of buyers for small and midsize businesses is a very
difficult task. While they are certainly interested in returns on their
investments, other characteristics such as life style, pride, nationality and
past experience play an important role in determining what buyers are willing to
pay. Some businesses are much more desirable than others and tend to sell fast.
However, businesses take six months to a year to sell and some never sell
despite the fact that they are profitable and the owners are willing to sell on
reasonable terms. Characteristics that make one business more or less desirable
and/or marketable than others include:
The general acceptance of the business in society - Some
businesses can be very profitable, but have limited appeal due to the nature of
the business. For example, businesses dealing with adult entertainment generally
have a limited acquisition market because entrepreneurs tend to start up new
businesses rather than acquire existing ones. While adult entertainment
businesses can be highly profitable, they tend to sell at low values due to the
low esteem in which they are held by the general public.
The degree of technical or specialized training needed
to operate the business - Businesses that require technical training or
knowledge are more difficult to sell due to the limited number of buyer
prospects that have the perquisite training and/or experience.
The general condition of business equipment and
inventory - Equipment in need of repair and/or inventory that is outdated or
non-salable will have a negative influence on value.
The size of the business - Often, midsize businesses are
easier to sell than small businesses. This is due to the benefit streams being
larger, financing resources are more readily available, and the pool of buyers
is expanded to include both private and institutional investors who hire
professional management to operate the businesses. Businesses with proven track
records of low earnings are extremely difficult to sell, except where
the assets can be acquired near liquidation value and the business then utilized
for another business concept. For instance, restaurants are frequently sold for
their tangible asset value and reopened under a new name and menu concept.
Quality of Location and Facilities - The physical
appearance of the neighborhood and facilities where a business is located can
have an influence on value. Every town has neighborhoods that are considered
good and bad. Given a choice, buyer prospects do not want to buy a business
located in an area of town considered high risk due to poor appearance, crime
and/or poor quality of life. Generally, business located in bad areas of town or
have poor appearances will suffer from reduced market values despite other
positive aspects.
Competition - Companies in highly competitive industries
are often less valuable than businesses with similar characteristics, but in
more moderate competitive industries. Unstable markets due to newness of
products or services or a poor economy can generate hungry competitors who cut
prices in order to survive. As a result, sales volume and profits are reduced
for everyone in the industry. Industry characteristics that tend to have a
positive influence on value include:
- industries that have a strong trade or professional
association
- industries that have stable products, services and
pricing
- industries with low company failure rates
- industries that are regulated by government through
licensing, permits or zoning which tends to restrict the number of companies
In some industries, competition is very friendly and
actually stimulates business for everyone.
Examples include: clusters of restaurants; shopping malls
with multiple tenants competing for the consumer dollar, yet jointly advertising
to promote business; and auto dealerships jointly advertising and clustering
together.
Type of Business - The type of business has an impact on
business value due to buyers' perceptions of risk relating to the operational
nature of the business and the underlying assets required to operate the
business. In general, businesses that are easy to start and require minimal
capital investment will be valued less than businesses that require specialized
knowledge, licensing and/or heavy capital investment.
Service businesses represent the largest growing category
of businesses in the U.S. and now account for approximately 38% of all
businesses (excluding finance, insurance and real estate). Service businesses
usually require minimal investment in tangible assets and can often be easily
started. They have a reputation of going out of business quickly due to heavy
reliance on people skills, competition and changes in technology. The value of
service businesses will often be less than businesses in other categories with
similar profitability but more tangible assets.
Retail businesses account for approximately 21.7 % of all
business types. Two major trends in the retail business are franchising and
"killer category" stores. Due to the high costs to compete in the retail
industry, retailers are joining networks and franchises to gain recognition and
obtain purchasing power. Large specialty stores in excess of 10,000 square feet
are now competing with products that previously had been in general line stores.
The office supply business is a good example. A few years ago office supplies
were sold either through department stores or many small office supply stores.
Today, many businesses buy their office supplies from large specialty stores
such as Office Depot and Office Max. Many of the small office supply stores are
now out of business. Small, independent, retail businesses that have to compete
with "killer category" stores run a high risk of being put out of business.
Small retail businesses are often difficult to sell due to the changes taking place in the marketplace.
Manufacturing account for approximately 6.4% of the total
businesses, yet there is a large market of buyers, especially for businesses
that manufacture a proprietary product. The interest level in manufacturing
businesses is high due to the following:
1. A large number of engineers and corporate managers in
the U.S. who tend to be entrepreneurial
2. A substantial amount of tangible assets that can be
financed
3. The perception that manufacturing businesses are more
stable than other types of businesses and have the potential for significant
growth.
In general, buyers and sellers need to be aware of the
market of buyers for small and midsize businesses. When there is a large market,
the businesses will usually sell quickly and at values significantly higher than
those businesses that are difficult to sell and/or the market of buyers is
limited.
Buyer Characteristics:
There is no lack of buyer prospects for small and midsize
companies. Our brokerage company, Certified Business Brokers, receives
approximately 300 inquires every month from people who desire to acquire a
business. Some of these inquires are from first and second generation immigrants
who have recently moved to the U.S. Because immigrants often have problems with
the English language and are unfamiliar with U.S. business methods, they tend to
acquire existing businesses rather than start up new businesses. Immigrants will
often work for a family member for a year or two and then strike out on their
own with the help of family to acquire a business of their own.
White collar buyers; such as corporate executives,
bankers, accountants and engineers make up a large segment of buyers for small
and midsize businesses. White collar buyers typically want manufacturing or
service-related businesses that deal with other businesses. Investment bankers,
private investment groups and wealthy individuals are considered to be financial
buyers.
Financial buyers are usually looking for businesses that
can be taken public within five years. Most small businesses are not likely
candidates for going public and many midsize businesses are considered large for
the industry that they serve, thus they to are unlikely candidates for being
taken public. Financial buyers are interested in acquiring companies with gross
sales of over $10 million and are in industries where significant growth is
possible.
Competitors and business owners in similar lines of
business represent a smaller segment of the buyer market than many people would
think. Other than specialty businesses such as bowling centers and automobile
dealerships, existing business owners tend to buy only when they can obtain a
bargain price. This category of buyer often objects to paying any goodwill value
as they believe they already have the skills necessary to obtain business
without having to buy someone else's business. While acquisition is a successful
means of business growth, many small and midsize business owners are short
sighted when it comes to acquiring other similar companies.
Summary
A fundamental principle in valuing small and midsize
businesses is that a determination of value is a question of fact that depends
upon the circumstances in each case. A proper valuation should include a
dispassionate analysis of company specific risks, systematic risks of the market
in which a business operates, and the acquisition market wherein that has taken
into consideration the size of a business, buyer characteristics and normal
terms of sale.
Footnotes
1. The State of Small Business: A Report of the President
1993. United States Printing Office, Washington, D.C.; 1993
2 Adapted by the U.S. Small Business Administration,
Office of Advocacy from data provided by the U.S. Department of Labor,
Employment and Training Administration based upon state employment security
agencies' quarterly reports, 1992
3. The Business Broker. Published by Business Brokerage
Press, Concord, Ma.; January 1995
4. Ibid. 2
5. Mergerstat Review 1994. Published by Merrill Lynch
Business Advisory Services, Schaumburg, Il.